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Iowa Caucus Winners

The winners of last night's Iowa caucus were:

Republican Mike Huckabee (with 34% of the vote)


Democrat Barack Obama (with 38% of the vote).

Second and third place in the Democratic party went to John Edwards (30%) and Hilary Clinton (29%), respectively. Second place for the Republican Party went to Mitt Romney (25%), and Fred Thompson and John McCain tied for third place (13%). Libertarian Ron Paul came in 5th in the Republican party with 10%, and no other candidates broke double digit percentages in their total voter support.

Source: http://blogs.news.com.au/news/blogocracy/index.php/news/comments/iowa_caucus_results and...well...I live here.


So much of the news coverage that I've seen on the Democratic side of things has been so fixated on Obama and Clinton, that I was actually a bit surprised to see Edwards score higher than Clinton.
I can't say that I was. Hilary's campaign has not been overly effective here, and she's not reaching the general population in the state. Everyone I've talked to says that she always seems stiff, fairly uncomfortable when she's talking to Iowans. John Edwards does a good job of being charismatic and charming, and he knows how to connect with the grassroots people who populate the majority of Iowa. I don't think he'll ultimately win, but I'm not surprised he beat Hilary.

My understanding of the caucus process (I didn't personally caucus because I'm registered to vote in Plymouth county and I live in Story county, which are about four hours apart) is that it was a bit of charlie foxtrot. The Democrats, especially, weren't prepared for the kinds of numbers that turned out to participate - there were precincts in Des Moines that were hung up on just the voting for more than two hours.
I could definitely see her not having the appeal in Iowa. The United States is really quite a large place, and I think that what goes over well with one population doesn't always resonate elsewhere.

The turn-out bit is very interesting. There were 50% more Democrats than anticipated, which seems like a huge amount. The Seattle Times article doesn't really say anything about the demographics of the turn-out... Do you know if it was primarily younger voters? Or were the increases across the board?

I think there were a lot of younger voters. I know that the high school I graduated from did a big drive with the of-age seniors (and some recent and not-so-recent graduates), and there was a big push at Ames High (where I'm student teaching) to get as many teachers and students to go as possible. Lots of students wearing stickers, lots of people shouting pro-candidate messages in the hallway. I'm sure there were people on campus during fall semester, but I spent so little time south of Lago (which is on the very north end of campus) that I honestly can't tell you what kinds of drives there were.

But yes, I know there was a large young voter turn out. That's part of why a lot of people were disappointed with the disorganization - there was no time to properly vote for platform stances or new delegates to county/state/regional/national conventions, and last night would have been a prime opportunity to get some young, excited people more thoroughly involved in the process.

January 2008

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